Wednesday, June 21, 2017

All the Trump's men

With the conclusion, last night, of the special elections to replace the republicans who moved from the House of Representatives to "serve" in the tRump administration, we have proof that safe seats on either side of the aisle are hard to flip as long as the president remains popular with the base voters of his party.   The same was true of Obama, Bush, et. al.  The post mortems are liable to be brutal in the case of the Georgia special election.  Dems pinned their hopes on an inexperienced congressional staffer who ran a milquetoast conservative campaign in order to attract what turned out to be non-existent crossover republican votes.  It is unlikely an aggressively liberal campaign would have succeeded either.  That district has been republican for time out of mind and regardless of the abundance of educated voters and the backlash against Cheeto Jesus, it was just too easy for lifelong repubs to pull their party's lever in the voting booth.  The problem going forward is the proliferation of safe districts which will continue to give the GOP an advantage until demography swamps their carefully gerrymandered congressional map.  It will take numerous indictments of administration and Trump campaign officials to flip the House next year.   In the meantime, Dems will have to chew over the lessons of these special elections.

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