Friday, June 3, 2016

Battle lines being drawn

We can now see the contours of the upcoming presidential campaign.  Hillary will drag up every preposterous thing The Donald has said and contrast it with the truth.  Meanwhile, Trump will react with schoolyard taunts and denigration while dragging up every "scandal" republicans have ginned up against the Clintons over the last 30 years.   Yesterday, Clinton gave a speech on foreign policy which basically made the case that the presumptive Republican nominee is either incredibly stupid or mendacious to a degree unparalleled in modern history.  The thought of allowing Trump anywhere within touching distance of the nuclear codes should give even the most rabid follower of the The Donald pause.  However, Clinton's speech is probably designed to motivate the base to support her in November.  This could be a replay of LBJ's campaign against Goldwater in 1964.   The Dems famously used scare tactics to imply Goldwater would start a nuclear war with the Soviets.  We all know how that election turned out.  Of course, Johnson also had an immense reservoir of good will after JFK's assassination.  Clinton can't count on that, but she will have the campaign power of a popular incumbent who knows how to work the base and plenty of surrogates who will spread the gospel.  Trump, on the other hand will have at best the lukewarm support of the establishment, most of whom will be happy to see him go down in flames.

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