Confirmation

Turnout is key, but a new CNN poll in the wake of the Kavanaugh confirmation vote shows women preferring democratic candidates over republicans by a whopping 30%.  This is an historical bump by any standards and presages a blue tsunami.  Unless the pollsters are totally mistaken, the GOP has managed to alienate women, people of color and younger voters.  Relying on cranky old white men as your base does not seem like a winning strategy in the long run.  The supply of this demographic is shrinking over time and if the shift of women to the democratic side is a more than one election cycle phenomenon, the Kavanaugh confirmation may come to be seen as the GOP Waterloo.