Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Last gasps

      the outrage meter is presently cranked to the max on cable networks and social media.   The Tennessee 3 is a thing as is the ruling by a Texas judge outlawing the safest method of inducing abortion via medication.   Add to this the 132nd mass shooting of the year and there is a perfect storm of issues the major political parties can run on in next year's elections.   How they do it and who they appeal to will make all the difference in the results.

     On the issues of reproductive freedom, gun control and voter suppression and intimidation, Democrats have been handed the tools to build a lasting coalition of young, educated and female voters who will probably remain with the party for their lifetimes.   Republicans are left with a mostly older, white and poorly educated base which increasingly looks for bullhorns instead of dog whistles when it comes to election slogans.  Covid disproportionately weeded out many of these voters and many of their older voters will die in the coming decade.  There may be a last gasp of this coalition in 2024, but it could just as soon be the first landslide victory for the Democratic coalition.

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